Horsham are
here for their fourth FA Cup tie of the season, after a big away win at Tower
Hamlets, followed by a home replay win against Metropolitan Police. They play
their league football in the Isthmian Premier League. Dartford are in the
National League South, one tier above, and so enter the competition at this stage.
|
This is a
tidy new ground with good facilities, a half-an-hour walk out of town but easily reached by public
transport. The artificial surface allows a pass-and-move, build-from-the-back
style which made an entertaining change from the usual channels and percentages
that I usually see. The Hornets of Horsham started well, settling very
quickly to their style, and they worked their triangles well, particularly
down the right flank. Visiting keeper Mark Smith started to earn his money
with two sharp reflex blocks in the first quarter of an hour. He was soon to
need the help of his defenders with goal-line clearances after some penalty
area pinball gave Horsham three half-chances in quick succession. As the
half-hour mark approached, he then made an acrobatic one handed stop from Lea
Dawson’s close range header arising from a right-side set piece.
By this
stage, Horsham deserved to be ahead, so the opening goal was a sickener, coming
against the run of play just before half-time. Dartford’s Darren McQueen
hooked a loose ball into the net.
Dartford
defended with more composure after the break, and although Horsham had plenty
of possession, they struggled to create chances of the same clear-cut
quality. Smith remained busy, and of course Dartford themselves were able to
threaten on the break. Horsham’s best chance of a leveller was around the
hour, but Dartford continued to cope well enough. The second goal by Luke
Allen, in stoppage time, was a well-taken shot across the goal to the right
hand corner, and makes the final score look more comfortable than it was.
Good game for the passing neutral, and I expect to see the words brave and
plucky in the other match reports. The Dartford forward with the famous dad
must get fed up of being mentioned in that context, so I won’t.
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Proper statistical significance test
to follow in due course!
Today, Green
loses to Orange, and this is a second successive clean sheet for a man in
Orange, enough to cause the first change in the spectral pecking order for
several months.
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Man-of-the-Match Mark Smith takes a breather near the end |
Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper
Top Colour:
Prediction:
|
Home Win
|
Was the
prediction correct?
|
No
|
% of
correct predictions so far
|
52% (31
from 60)
|
Based on conventional 3pts for a win,
1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean
sheet (CS). Colours ranked on a points
per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by
half-and-half tops or sub keepers in a different colour. The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with
the help of the social media team at Dulux UK. All of this arises from a comment
attributed to Petr Cech that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper
because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box.
This table is from my last 205 games
watched.
|
P
|
W
|
D
|
L
|
GC
|
CS
|
Pts
|
PPG
|
Red
|
11.5
|
6.5
|
1.0
|
4.0
|
11.0
|
4.5
|
32.0
|
2.783
|
Grey
|
53.5
|
25.0
|
12.0
|
16.5
|
84.5
|
16.0
|
82.5
|
1.542
|
Blue
|
49.1
|
22.0
|
8.0
|
19.1
|
78.0
|
14.0
|
66.0
|
1.344
|
Green
|
112.0
|
55.0
|
12.0
|
45.0
|
196.0
|
25.0
|
106.0
|
0.946
|
Fire Cracker
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
0.0
|
2.0
|
6.0
|
1.0
|
2.0
|
0.667
|
Orange
|
62.5
|
23.0
|
13.0
|
26.5
|
106.5
|
13.0
|
40.5
|
0.648
|
Purple
|
22.0
|
8.0
|
5.0
|
9.0
|
45.0
|
6.0
|
14.0
|
0.636
|
Maroon
|
5.0
|
2.0
|
1.0
|
2.0
|
9.0
|
1.0
|
3.0
|
0.600
|
Radioactive Bile
|
24.0
|
9.0
|
1.0
|
14.0
|
51.0
|
4.0
|
-3.0
|
-0.125
|
Black
|
6.5
|
2.5
|
3.0
|
1.0
|
15.0
|
0.5
|
-2.0
|
-0.308
|
Yellow
|
39.0
|
10.0
|
9.0
|
20.0
|
88.0
|
7.0
|
-14.0
|
-0.359
|
Pink
|
20.0
|
6.0
|
5.0
|
9.0
|
42.0
|
1.0
|
-14.0
|
-0.700
|
White
|
1.9
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
1.9
|
4.0
|
0.0
|
-4.0
|
-2.105
|
|
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