This space is where a pic of the programme front cover normally goes.
Hopperational Details
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Date & Venue
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Saturday 2
October 2021 at LNER Community Stadium
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Result
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York City 2 Whitby Town 0
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Competition
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FA Cup 3rd
Qualifying Round
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Hopstats
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Ground 730 on
my lifetime list is the third consecutive game at a ground known as a
Community Stadium, following trips to Brentford and Boston United. This isn’t
a random selection. It’s a new ground on the way to restore my full coverage down to
Step 2, which all being well will happen at Gloucester next weekend.
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Context
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Predicting FA
Cup results is always tricky. The old adage says that league form goes out of
the window. The prize money is such that most clubs take the competition
seriously in these early rounds. York City, like Boston United last week,
need to get their new ground hosting games at a higher level sooner rather
than later. They are mid-table at Step 2 in the National League North, and
they saw off Hebburn Town comfortably enough in the previous round. Whitby
Town are a step below York, in the Northern Premier League, but interestingly
their good league position is built mostly on an impressive away record. They
won away at FA Vase holders Warrington Rylands in the last round. Much better
to rely on the colour of the goalkeeper top as a predictive method (see
below). You don’t get that with Opta. Update: it was not a good day for
keepertopcolourstats, and not for the first (or last) time.
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In One Sentence
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A fair
result, secured with first-half goal poaching skills from veteran Clayton
Donaldson, and a nice loud singing and sweary day out for the Whitby support.
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So What?
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It’s a cup
game so York are in the hat for the next round and Whitby aren’t. Other
clichƩs are available.
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Pre-match Entertainment
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I travelled
up to York by LNER Azuma from Stevenage today, and sat in the LNER Azuma
stand. For the morning, the National Railway Museum had my attention. It has
been refurbished and extended since my last visit, many decades ago. This was
a happy couple of hours in the presence of engineering and logistic
excellence with some social and political history thrown in. I managed to
walk away from the train sets on sale and then decided to stick to my
original plan to walk the 2.8 miles to the ground, which was pleasant enough
despite the pouring rain. I need the exercise, trust me.
 | From an exhibit about life on the Ambulance Trains of WW1 |
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Match Report
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My small bottle
of water was confiscated at the gate for reasons which are not entirely clear
and satisfactory to me, or the stewards (just doing what they are told etc
etc) but we laughed. There had been no programmes on sale outside, so I set
about finding the sellers inside. There were none. A number of us were
clearly doing the same, and a supervising steward told us they were on their
way, and she pointed out where the seller would be. Half-an-hour later, still
nothing. This time we were fobbed off with the old “not our responsibility”
line. I’m irritated by this but not enough to ever go back, but there are
some hoppers for whom programmes are a non-negotiable part of the experience.
A hasty tweet went unanswered, as is usual for clubs at this level. As I
write this late on Saturday evening, I find that it is £1.50 for the online
digital programme as a pdf. There is no chance whatsoever that I am paying
that, so my collection will have a little gap in it. One steward in
particular was very helpful and tried her best to solve the issue for us. Of
the other four that I spoke to at various points, three were non-English
speaking and didn’t understand the question, and the fourth was on her first
day and didn’t know. I gave up, and sat down to watch the game.
York took
control pretty much from the start. Whitby keeper Shane Bland had already
been busy before he watched Clayton Donaldson’s first effort of the day go
narrowly wide. The opening goal was just after the quarter-hour, Bland doing
superbly well to save Mackenzie Heaney’s shot and Donaldson’s initial
follow-up, but the veteran striker kept his composure to slot home the second
rebound. Whitby’s first real chance was a good one, and could have changed
the game had it been taken. As it happens, it goes in the records as a good
one-handed save by Pete Jameson in the York goal rather than a spectacular
equaliser for Jacob Hazel.
We only had
to wait until just after the half-hour for Donaldson’s second, with another
element of deja-vu as it took him two attempts to score from Michael Woods’
pass. Woods had broken strongly down the left flank when a Whitby attack had
broken down. The visitors’ task began to look impossible, but to be fair
their fans kept up their noisy (if not family-friendly) support throughout.
They seemed determined to have a good day one way or another. Jameson was
called into action again just before half-time and that was the other
potential game-changing moment.
After
half-time, the main question was whether Donaldson would get a hat-trick.
York kept pressing, and Whitby stayed competitive for a good while. A goal
would certainly have given them hope. Bland continued to have a busy
afternoon behind their defence, denying Harrison Hopper and (of course)
Donaldson in the first few minutes of the second half.  | Clayton Donaldson in search of a hat-trick |
Donaldson had
one more chance but the effort was deflected for a corner. Whitby had one
more too on the hour mark, but Jameson was in the right place at the right
time. The result was secure and there was no further scoring. So, credit to
York City for an efficient performance and safe passage to the next round,
and credit to Whitby for putting up a fight before bowing out of the
competition. As the rain fell, it was time for the second half of my exercise
as I set off to walk back to the station.
Note to any hoppers doing the same:
the riverside path suggested by Google Maps is not sensible in wet weather.
It’s a mudbath. Stick to either the Huntingdon or Haxby Road alternative. It
takes just over an hour at moderate walking pace.
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Match Pix
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Ground Pix
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Considerable
similarity with last week at Boston United. An out-of-town site with modern
amenities has replaced a worn-out stadium, and it needs to get promoted
sooner rather than later. It felt cavernous today with one side unopened. “Is
this a library?” sang the Whitby end at one point, and you could see why. I
like the design and the colours, but I was too grumpy after the programme
debacle and wet after the walk to really enjoy the experience today,
especially when the result was effectively decided by half-time. The ground
is shared with a rugby league side, and you can just make out the overpainted
markings. The surface, although very wet today, was excellent.
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Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats Update
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Usually
accompanied by a pre-match prediction on Twitter just before kickoff. Working
towards being able to compute a respectable statistical significance test by
the end of the season. The full keeper top performance table from my last 231
matches is here, on this separate page.
Today, Pink
beats Orange and keeps a clean sheet, in defiance of the league table. For
the first time in many weeks, there is a change in rank order as Pink goes
above Yellow.
Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper
Top Colour:
Prediction:
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Away Win
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Was the
prediction correct?
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No
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% of
correct predictions so far
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49% (42
from 86)
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Based on conventional 3pts for a win,
1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean
sheet (CS). Colours ranked on a points
per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by undeniable
half-and-half tops or lower league sub keepers in a different colour. The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with
the help of the social media team at Dulux UK. All of this arises from a comment
attributed to Petr Cech (and supported by anonymous scientists of some
description) that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it
changes the behaviour of other players around the box. It is supposedly
because of an innate primeval human reaction to the colour and the colour
“spreads” more in the vision of a striker at the key moment of decision.
Genius or garbage? The evidence is gathering here, and is leaning towards the
latter.
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What Next?
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Follow @GrahamYapp
on Twitter! The provisional plan, subject to the usual barriers of
life-in-post-Brexit-and-mid-pandemic England, is to head to Gloucester City v
Bradford next Saturday as explained above.
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