Monday, 22 April 2019

Bourton, Moreton and Four-None in the Hellenic League



Hopperational Details
Date & Venues
Sunday 21 April 2019 at (a) Rissington Road, (b) London Road and (c) The Meadow
Results
(a) Bourton Rovers 3 Headington Amateurs 1
(b) Moreton Rangers 0 Adderbury Park 1
(c) Brimscombe & Thrupp 4 Abingdon United 0
Competition
Hellenic League Division Two West (Step 7) for (a) and (b) and Hellenic League Premier (Step 5) for (c).
Hopstats
Grounds 696-698 on my lifetime list.
Context
At Bourton, 7th placed Rovers face 5th placed visitors in Amateurs. Moreton won the division last week and will receive the trophy before the game against 4th placed Adderbury.  In the final game, Brimscombe and Thrupp could still win the title if they beat bottom club Abingdon United, but Wantage will need just a point at Windsor the next day to drop them back to second place.
In one sentence each
(a) A close game of fine margins and the scoreline is slightly flattering.
(b) Adderbury deserved this win with a feisty and determined performance against the divisional champions.
(c) A routine win helped by the dismissal of an Abingdon defender.
So what?
Adderbury, Bourton & Headington are 3rd, 5th and 6th for now behind champions Moreton in Division Two West.  In the Premier League, Abingdon United finish bottom and Brimscombe & Thrupp lead the league at least until Easter Monday’s result from Windsor v Wantage.
Match Reports
As yesterday, all three matches were played in sunshine on decent but hard, bouncy surfaces.

At Bourton, I sought the shade of a hedge to watch Steve Nurse give Bourton the lead after 20 minutes as the Headington defence found itself outnumbered.  The visitors kept pressing in an even contest and two near-goalline clearances were needed to keep them out.  The first half ended with the score at 1-0  but Headington kept knocking at the door after the restart. There were screams of dissent from their bench after one particular offside call from the assistant.

With 15 minutes to go, Rovers doubled their lead with a curled and lifted left foot shot which looped into the corner of the net.  However, Bourton failed to set up proper defence for a set-piece and a well-executed but routine direct freekick from Ben Curtis reduced the arrears with seven minutes left.  His curling shot to the top right corner left the Rovers’ keeper flat-footed.

Headington committed men forward and one good chance was thwarted by a slight bobble from the hard ground, and it was adding insult to injury when substitute Danny Way cut in with a stepover from the left and lashed the ball home from a narrow angle to make it 3-1.

At Moreton, I considered hiding in the bushes like a Leeds United spy but eventually found enough shade to watch Adderbury Park have a real go at their divisional champions.  The visitors had watched the trophy presentation and paid their respect with a guard of honour.  They then forced the hosts to play on the break – also looking dangerous to be fair – but it needed a great reflex save from Rangers keeper Ollie Currill, followed by a goalline clearance from the resulting corner, to keep Adderbury at bay.  Add to that a desperate but excellent tackle from defender Harry Smith to prevent another chance.  No score at half-time and I noted that perhaps Adderbury might regret the missed opportunity.

However, the second half fell into the same pattern and sub Josh Northam scored the winning goal just after the hour mark.  The sides cancelled each other out in the heat for the last half-hour and the visitors held on for the win.

The setting of The Meadow at Brimscombe & Thrupp was a great reward in the last of the day’s sunshine.  It has an amphitheatric feel, and I found my shade under a floodlight post this time.  The pitch has an unusual slope – the whole of the touchline on the clubhouse side curls upwards like a slightly damp sheet of paper.  The hosts needed the win to keep mathematical interest in the title alive.  The first goal was created by Ollie Pitt with a run and cross from the left and Sam Blackie’s name was entered on to the scoresheet.  There was so little action in the home penalty area that a couple of thrushes took the chance of frequent visits to collect earthworms for tea.


United held their own until Tom Butler was dismissed for a second cautionable offence early in the second half.  Kyle Pitts scored from the resulting direct freekick and now the win was secured.  Sub James Campbell showed perseverance to score with a low shot from distance and in stoppage time another sub, Jack Smith, lashed the ball into the roof of the next for an icing-on-the-cake fourth.

At this point for practical and work reasons I need to dip out of the Hop which continues with three more games on Easter Monday.  I think that the Hellenic League and its clubs have made a good impression in the six games I have attended and as on previous occasions I would like to thank Groundhop UK for the organisation and effort before the event and behind the scenes.
Pix
Bourton – home side in yellow/blue: 











Moreton – home side in red & blue stripes:










Brimscombe & Thrupp – home side in white:
  












Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats
New this season – a pre-match prediction based only on keeper top colours as a preliminary test of the data.  Proper statistical significance test to follow in due course.  This table is now based on my last 199 games.

Today Blue beats Grey, Orange beats a slightly different shade of Orange with a sheet, and Red keeps a clean sheet to beat Green.

Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper Top Colour:
Predictions:
Away Win, Draw, Home Win
Was the prediction correct?
No, No, Yes
% of correct predictions so far
56% (30 from 54)

Based on conventional 3pts for a win, 1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean sheet (CS).  Colours ranked on a points per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by half-and-half tops or sub keepers in a different colour.  The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with the help of the social media team at Dulux UK.  All of this arises from a comment attributed to Petr Cech that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box.


P
W
D
L
GC
CS
Pts
PPG
Red
11.5
6.5
1.0
4.0
11.0
4.5
32.0
2.783
Grey
53.5
25.0
12.0
16.5
84.5
16.0
82.5
1.542
Blue
48.1
22.0
7.0
19.1
77.0
14.0
66.0
1.372
Green
110.0
55.0
12.0
43.0
191.0
25.0
111.0
1.009
Fire Cracker
3.0
1.0
0.0
2.0
6.0
1.0
2.0
0.667
Maroon
5.0
2.0
1.0
2.0
9.0
1.0
3.0
0.600
Orange
58.5
21.0
12.0
25.5
101.5
11.0
28.5
0.487
Purple
21.0
8.0
4.0
9.0
45.0
5.0
8.0
0.381
Radioactive Bile
24.0
9.0
1.0
14.0
51.0
4.0
-3.0
-0.125
Black
6.5
2.5
3.0
1.0
15.0
0.5
-2.0
-0.308
Yellow
37.0
9.0
8.0
20.0
85.0
6.0
-20.0
-0.541
Pink
18.0
5.0
5.0
8.0
37.0
1.0
-12.0
-0.667
White
1.9
0.0
0.0
1.9
4.0
0.0
-4.0
-2.105


What Next?
Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter!  If all goes to plan, a football-cricket sporting double next weekend, ticking off another Step 4 ground.


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