Saturday, 17 September 2022

A Cup Draw from Long Eaton


Hopperational Details

Date & Venue

Saturday 17 September at Grange Park

Result

Long Eaton United 1 Gainsborough Trinity 1

Competition

FA Cup 2nd Qualifying Round

Hopstats

Ground #757 on the lifetime list. I am here a week later than originally scheduled, but all games were postponed as is well understood. The original reason for my choice of venue was a randomish event, as Twitter followers will have seen. The new Prime Minister used the word “deliver” or one of its derivatives exactly three times from her first speech in Downing Street. Only two and I would have been at Sheppey United, another one and it would have been Lancing. It seems a long time ago now, and rather insignificant. For the record, she stated that the previous bloke had delivered something, she was going to focus to delivering things, and in the final sentence she was determined to deliver. Buy shares in moped manufacturers immediately. Anyway …

Context

Gainsborough sit mid-table in the Step 3 Northern Premier and beat Loughborough United in the last round to get here. Long Eaton United came up to Step 4 from the United Counties Premier North as last season’s champions, and are mid-table at Step 4 in the Northern Premier Division One East (or something like that).  They’ve beaten Sherwood Colliery (after a replay), Quorn (convincingly) and Hednesford Town (away) and also beat Gresley Rovers in the rearranged FA Trophy game in midweek – the match I would have attended but for postponement.

In One Sentence

A hard-fought and reasonably entertaining game with defences generally on top, with the visitors scoring a late equaliser.

So What?

Both teams are in the proverbial hat for the next round draw, and there will be a replay in midweek.

Pre-match Entertainment

Pause for a short walk and a bonus ice-cream cone at Trent Lock, near the confluence of Trent and Soar, where some of my ancestors may well have paddled around and plied their trades.

 


 

Match Report

A minute’s silence in reflection of the life of HM the Queen was observed before kickoff.

It was clear that Long Eaton were not going to be overawed by the status of their visitors, just as in the previous round at Hednesford. Defences were well on top, albeit with some brave blocks and headers from both teams. It was interesting to watch Clayton Donaldson at work for Trinity. He has dropped another tier since I last saw him at York City, and fair play to him for still going strong. As with Grant Holt whom I saw at Wroxham last season, he made up for reduced pace and energy with positioning and vision. Having said that he would have been disappointed to see a long-distance first-half effort drift wide with the home keeper out of position. The best chance of the half fell to Long Eaton after 38 minutes. A surge break down the left ended up with a chance and a good block by the keeper. The home side, though, took the lead from the resulting corner, Alex Marshall hooking the ball in from close range, to give Long Eaton the half-time advantage.

Gainsborough’s management made a double substitution at half time, and their third also came before Long Eaton made any change. The game followed the same general pattern. Long Eaton missed a chance for a second when Marshall’s attempted lob when through was easily caught.

Gainsborough began to commit more men forward and I made a note that this was going to be 2-0 or 1-1. It was to be the latter. Donaldson’s persistence at the byline led to a loose ball in the six-yard box and it is his happy face in the background as substitute Tom Cursons hammers the ball into the net at the far post.

 


With about ten minutes left including stoppage time, it looked as if the visitors had been spurred into action. However, the match finished in a tense and tetchy atmosphere after the circumstances over a home free-kick were loudly disputed from the bench. The kick rebounded off a player who looked to be too close, but equally it looked as if the ball had been deliberately struck at him. The ref allowed play to continue, and Gainsborough rather wasted the gift chance of a break. That’s now history and the teams will meet again on Tuesday.

Other Match Pix - Long Eaton in blue & black stripes







 

Ground Pix

This is a neat-and-tidy ground with a very good playing surface.

 




Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats Update

Usually accompanied by a pre-match prediction on Twitter just before kickoff. Working towards being able to compute a respectable statistical significance test by the end of the season. The full keeper top performance table from my last 258 matches is here, on this separate page.

Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper Top Colour:

Prediction:

Away Win

Was the prediction correct?

No

% of correct predictions so far

44% (50 from 113)

Based on conventional 3pts for a win, 1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean sheet (CS).  Colours ranked on a points per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by undeniable half-and-half tops or lower league sub keepers in a different colour.  The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with the help of the social media team at Dulux UK.  All of this arises from a comment attributed to Petr Cech (and supported by anonymous scientists of some description) that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box. It is supposedly because of an innate primeval human reaction to the colour and the colour “spreads” more in the vision of a striker at the key moment of decision. Genius or garbage? The evidence is gathering here, and is leaning towards the latter.

What Next?

Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter! I have twenty priority grounds, that is to say Plymouth Parkway who are now in Step 3, and nineteen other Step 4 grounds to go. No definite plans for next week at this point.

 

 

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