Current Affairs - Composure is the Potential Difference in the Dynamo Derby

 

Hopperational Details
Date & Venue	Monday 30 August 2021 at the Dovecote Stadium, Butthole Lane
Result	Shepshed Dynamo 0 Loughborough Dynamo 1
Competition	Northern Premier League Midland Division (Step 4)
Hopstats	Ground 724 on the lifetime list. After Saturday’s 18hr 8-legged train trip to Devon, I needed something more straightforward today. So when, as a physics teacher, I saw that my nearest unvisited Step 4 ground was hosting the Dynamo Derby, well, it would have been rude not to, wouldn’t it?
Context
13th v 11th. Loughborough are out of the FA Cup and have a win and a draw from four games, but have lost all of their away games so far. Two days ago they walloped Sporting Khalsa 6-2. Shepshed are also out of the FA Cup and their first win of the season came just two days ago. They also had a draw, so both teams have four points but Shepshed have played one game fewer. All of this incomplete and contradictory information means that we might as well make our predictions from something mad like the colour of the goalkeeper tops. Shepshed are back up at Step 4 after their combined record for the last two seasons in the United Counties League was enough to get them a promotion.
In One Sentence
Ether keenly-contested or embarrassingly fractious, depending on your point of view, and settled from the penalty spot early in the second half.
So What?
The teams finish the day in 13th and 8th places respectively.
Pre-match Entertainment
I became the 5738th groundhopper to take this picture.  A butt in this context is an archery target, by the way. Just to be clear.
Match Report
Shepshed started brightly and most of the early play was in the Loughborough half, but it was the visitors who created the first clear-cut chance in the 14th minute. A free-kick was bought on the left flank, the cross caused penalty area chaos. The ball stayed out of the Shepshed net through a combination of crossbar and an excellent double reflex save by home keeper Brandon Ganley. Ganley, I believe, was making a second debut for the club having re-signed this week due to an injury to Matthew White. No player hat much time on the ball so passing play in the first half at least was sacrificed for first-time knocks and volleys. Both teams came close to scoring as we approached the 20-minute mark. Firstly Shepshed’s John King shot narrowly wide, and then Loughborough’s Kevin da Silva Bastos rolled the ball wide, Ganley doing well to narrow the angle and take away a really clear scoring chance. The first of several tetchy flashpoints came after 25 minutes. I’ve been unlucky with my physical placement recently and again the incident was on the far side from me. There was a crunching tackle, or attempted tackle. I couldn’t give a sensible view about right and wrong, but there were words exchanged and soon there was a large melée of players, plenty of in-your-face confrontation but short of blows being exchanged, it seemed. It took a couple of minutes for the officials to get things calmed down, and at least two players were cautioned, one from each side. There could have been a third, but I’m not totally sure. It was all a bit unseemly. On 34 minutes, a straight red card was shown to Loughborough’s Jake Finnerty, for a tackle deemed dangerous. Again, I was at the other end so can’t say much more other than my first impression had been that it was clumsy and mistimed rather than malicious. However, tempers were frayed and there were three more yellows in quick succession before the interval as the referee sought to bring the game back under control. That brought the card count to six yellows (maybe five) and the red for the first half. That may be a personal record among the games I have watched. Loughborough had made a tactical substitution after the dismissal, so the second half was going to be decided, so we thought, by whether Shepshed could get a passing game going to make the extra man count. In fact the first key event was the winning goal, timed at 49 minutes, given for a foul, and yes, of course at the other end from me. Curtis Burrows scored what turned out to be the only goal of the game. Another crunching tackle and set of confrontations led to two more yellow cards, including visiting keeper Jason Alexander for protesting outside his area. Shepshed did indeed try to impose a passing game, using both flanks, but the final ball was often disappointing and you could sense a growing frustration as Loughborough held firm. Shepshed came close to an equaliser two or three times. One effort was correctly disallowed for offside. One deflection bounced wide with Alexander about to dive the other way. Then the final sign that this was not Shepshed’s day was the ball smacking back and down off the crossbar with Alexander, for once, beaten. In the last few minutes it became ten v ten as Ben Starkie was also dismissed for a bad tackle. That made it easier for Loughborough to see out the final moments and hold on to the points. The game was interesting and entertaining in the sense that the result was in doubt until the end, and a turnout of 486 was very decent. As a passing neutral, I don’t blame the ref as much as the supporters around me (I was FA Class III myself back in the day after all). It's not always his ... wait for it ... volt. #sorrynotsorry
Other Match Pix
Shepshed in black-and-white.
Ground Pix
Plenty of structural features to keep the traditionalist groundhopper happy. If visiting, read the suggestions for parking in advance and get here early is my advice.
Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats Update
Usually accompanied by a pre-match prediction on Twitter just before kickoff. Working towards being able to compute a respectable statistical significance test by the end of the season. The full keeper top performance table from my last 225 matches is here, on this separate page. Today, Orange lined up against Green. Green’s victory and clean sheet does not change the order in the league table, but it did bring the prediction success ratio back to exactly 50%. Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper Top Colour: Prediction: Away Was the prediction correct? Yes % of correct predictions so far 50% (40 from 80) Based on conventional 3pts for a win, 1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean sheet (CS).  Colours ranked on a points per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by undeniable half-and-half tops or lower league sub keepers in a different colour.  The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with the help of the social media team at Dulux UK.  All of this arises from a comment attributed to Petr Cech (and supported by anonymous scientists of some description) that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box. It is supposedly because of an innate primeval human reaction to the colour and the colour “spreads” more in the vision of a striker at the key moment of decision. Genius or garbage? The evidence is gathering here, and is leaning towards the latter.
What Next?
Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter! Three of my unvisited Step 4 grounds (Basingstoke Town, Corinthian & Runcorn Linnets) are hosting FA Cup ties next Saturday and all being well I will be choosing one of them somehow. Whether it will be done by the blog’s signature randomishness or just transport practicalities is not yet clear. Watch this space!

 

A Tale of Two Towns

 

Hopperational Details
Date & Venue	Saturday 28 August 2021 at Mill Road
Result	Barnstaple Town 0 Melksham Town 2
Competition	Southern League Division One South (Step 4)
Hopstats	Ground 723 on my lifetime list. I am here because of a two-stage randomish process which made the decision for me. Firstly, Nicole Harvey was the best bowler last Wednesday from three sides in the Charlotte Edwards T20 Cup for women’s cricket. Her figures of 4-0-13-3 for Western Storm were better than anything from the bowlers of South-East Stars or Northern Diamonds. These three teams had been linked geographically to three football venues each, as explained in the previous blogpost here. Nicole’s performance narrowed it down to a destination to the west of Chateau Yapp, and so we moved on to stage two to decide from Glossop NE, Widnes and Barnstaple Town. This was done by distance, matching them with Brøndby, Dinamo Zagreb and Shaktar Donetsk respectively and using the “last goal scored” method (as used last week here) to make the final decision for me. Those three sides had European ties later in the evening. It’s not strictly random, it’s randomish. Widnes never came into it because it was scoreless in Croatia. As goals went in during the evening, my destination switched between here and Glossop. It was Marlo’s 74th minute goal for Shaktar Donetsk that brings me here in effect – it sent the tie to extra time so it was Barnstaple for me no matter what happened after that.
Context
Barnstaple had a good win over Bideford in the FA Cup last weekend but are bottom of the division having lost their first two games. Melksham are one place above but only on goal difference, and a cup defeat means that they have lost all three competitive games so far. It’s a bit early in the season to be calling this a six-pointer, but hopefully it will be a good contest for this passing neutral.
In One Sentence
A somewhat tetchy encounter settled with two penalties, the first one scored and the second one saved but followed-up.
So What?
Unusually, Barnstaple climb one place on goal difference because of Mangotsfield losing 0-6 at home to Plymouth Parkway. They go away to Bideford on Monday, who will be wanting revenge for the cup defeat, before the next round of the cup on the following weekend. Melksham move up to mid-table respectability in 12th place but it is of course very early in the season and further predictions are fairly pointless. You don’t get this kind of honest analysis on the telly.
Pre-match Entertainment
Regular readers will know that I was relieved when the lateral flow tests were negative after last week’s journey, but I gave the nation’s trains another chance this week. I arrived in Barnstaple in plenty of time for a good walk around Rock Park, the town centre and pannier market, and along the bank of the River Taw, before heading to the ground. The section from Exeter to Barnstaple is marketed as the Tarka Line, and the train trundles through very pretty rolling English countryside. For the mystified, Tarka is an otter, featuring in a 1920s novel by Henry Williamson. There’s a thermodynamics joke about otters being cool because, in the words of Flanders and Swann, heat cannot of itself pass from a hot body to an ‘otter body, and I’m here all week and sorry, not sorry about that. In recent weeks I have commented on pandemic precautions and risks, and I will do so here for the last time unless something changes significantly. The experience at the ground was absolutely fine and low risk. The experience on the trains and buses was broadly fine in the sense that as a mask-wearer I was unchallenged and respected. Some individual legs of the journey were riskier than others in relation to the number and behaviour of unmasked passengers, in an entirely unpredictable way. For me, the last two weeks have been part of trying to evaluate what post-pandemic travel will be like, and my train and bus journeys have as far as I can tell been less dangerous than what will be expected of me as a secondary school teacher next week. As a nation we are being led by ideology rather than science now, and that is certain.
Match Report
My notes from the match are relatively sparse because defences were largely on top, with two sides full of effort and commitment but both lacking a cutting edge. Jay Malshanskj blazed over the bar in the early exchanges after some hesitant home defending, and then Barnstaple failed to make the away keeper Matthew Hall work from a couple of set pieces. The first real chance led to a superb one-handed save from Barnstaple keeper Adam Seedhouse-Evans after 27 minutes. The first penalty of the afternoon was at the other end from me (again!) and it was contested somewhat. It was either a trip or a mistimed tackle, I can’t be sure. Phil Ormrod kept his cool and scored from the spot to give Melksham a half-time lead. The pic shows the keeper about to guess incorrectly this time. The second half followed the same pattern. Long clearances from hand by both keepers, aimed at target men with their back to goal, balls played into the channels for runners from midfield. Very few clear chances were created and the best came from the set pieces such as corner kicks. The second penalty came just after the hour, again for a trip or mistimed tackle and only just inside the box. My first impression was that it was the correct decision. Ormrod stepped up again, but this time needed the rebound to score. This more or less settled things. Melksham could have had a third but Seedhouse-Evans saved one-on-one with Malshanskj. A home defender almost sliced the ball into his own net from a corner, and then his side had a late chance for a consolation from a freekick. Job done for the away side, and they will be relieved to get off the mark for the season. The pics capture the initial save and the scoring from the rebound.
Other Match Pix
Barnstaple in Red.
Ground Pix
Adjacent to its rugby counterpart, tucked away at the bottom of a narrow lane. As is often the case at this level, mixed construction of various types and generally in good order. There was a good early-season playing surface. All looking very nice in late summer sunshine.
Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats Update
Usually accompanied by a pre-match prediction on Twitter just before kickoff. Working towards being able to compute a respectable statistical significance test by the end of the season. The full keeper top performance table from my last 224 matches is here, on this separate page. This week Radioactive Bile loses to Grey, who also keeps a clean sheet. Once again, no change to the league table. Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper Top Colour: Prediction: Away Win Was the prediction correct? Yes % of correct predictions so far 49% (39 from 79) Based on conventional 3pts for a win, 1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean sheet (CS).  Colours ranked on a points per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by undeniable half-and-half tops or lower league sub keepers in a different colour.  The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with the help of the social media team at Dulux UK.  All of this arises from a comment attributed to Petr Cech (and supported by anonymous scientists of some description) that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box. It is supposedly because of an innate primeval human reaction to the colour and the colour “spreads” more in the vision of a striker at the key moment of decision. Genius or garbage? The evidence is gathering here, and is leaning towards the latter.
What Next?
Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter! I’m hoping to take the chance on Monday for another (possibly randomish, maybe pragmatic given that it is a Bank Holiday) ticking off of one of the Step 4 grounds on my priority list.

Where Will I Pitch Up Next?

 

England Cricketers 2009 at Sydney
Image by NAPARAZZI from Wikimedia Commons
CCA-SA 2.0

I find myself again with nine matches at unvisited Step 4 grounds to choose from this Saturday, 28 August.

This week’s randomish decision-making will be in two stages, making use of the fact that 3x3=9. It won’t be truly random in the strict mathematical sense of the word because the outcomes aren’t equally likely, but I have no idea what will happen, which is good enough. Neither will anyone else to be fair, because these days there seems to be more interest in reading the Magna Carta than this blog, but I digress.

STAGE ONE

On Wednesday 25 August, there are a number of teams playing women’s cricket for the Charlotte Edwards Cup. They will unwittingly make the decision for me because three of those teams can be loosely geographically connected to my options. We’ll choose the BEST BOWLING FIGURES obtained by any one of the team’s players as the “winning” point of detail on the day.

So, if the best bowling figures on the day are from the South East Stars (who take on Lightning at Guildford) then I will go to one of Basingstoke Town, Corinthian or Lancing. Tash Farrant or Freya Davies might be the bowlers to send me in that direction.

Meanwhile, the Northern Diamonds take on the Sunrisers, in Garforth, which is in the north-east. So if the best bowling figures are delivered by a Diamonds bowler, then it is only right and proper that I should head in that general direction, to one of Liversedge, Yorkshire Amateur or Stockton Town. Names that could feature here include Nat Sciver, Beth Langston or Katie Levick.

The last group is slightly more contrived, but Widnes, Glossop North End and Barnstaple Town are either in the West or play in a league with the word West as part of its name. So there is some logic in attaching them to Western Storm, who take on Thunder at Cardiff. Anya Shrubsole and Fi Morris are among those who might perform well with the ball for them.

Small print: it can be any bowler, not necessarily one of those named here, but she must be from the nominated side rather than the opponents. In the unlikely event of two players on different teams having identical best figures, then the tie-break is the analysis of the second-best bowler on that same side. Best figures are decided in the traditional cricketing way with wickets being higher priority, so 3 wickets for 20 runs is deemed better than 2 for 10, irrespective of any other consideration.

These are T20 games starting at 2.30pm, so by the early evening my list of nine football venues should be reduced to three, ready for some other randomish events to take over. Watch this space. It might be related to the evening's football, or it might involve the casual toss of a Toblerone box. Such excitement and suspense. Thank you for your interest (both of you).

UPDATE 1: What Happened in Stage One?

Western Storm were the only team of the three to bowl first. Thunder struggled from the start, and leg spinner Nicole Harvey took 3 for 13 off 4 overs, whilst not conceding a boundary. Those are good figures for a T20 innings.

As SE Stars and Northern Diamonds started bowling in their respective replies, Stars' Tash Farrant took a wicket with the fourth ball of her first over. However, this was soon overtaken by Beth Langston of Diamonds, who struck with her fifth and sixth deliveries. However, she also conceded boundaries and interim figures of 2-0-16-2 meant that she could only now overtake Nicole Harvey by getting at least two more wickets.

Several other bowlers took an early first wicket in their spells: Alice Capsey and Bryony Smith for Stars, and Katie Levick for Diamonds. Alex MacDonald took two wickets in the second half of her spell for Diamonds to finish on 4-0-11-2. Kalea Moore had 1-7 from two overs as Stars suffocated Lightning, and really it looked like only a late flurry for someone as Lightning got desperate will beat the earlier performance.

Meanwhile, for the record, Western Storm were strolling to a seven-wicket win at Cardiff which has no further impact on my decision-making. It all came down to the final overs of the day at Garforth and Guildford. Hollie Armitage also took two quick wickets for Diamonds and finished with 4-0-18-2. Really only Beth Langston, or something exceptional from Katie Levick could displace me from a western journey of some description. However, there were not enough overs left. At Guildford, Tash Farrant and Bryony Smith also ended up with two wickets. As it happens, my three selected teams all won today. The key point is that, thanks to Nicole Harvey and 4-0-13-3, I now need a way to decide between Widnes, Glossop North End, and Barnstaple Town for a Saturday hop.

UPDATE 2 : STAGE TWO

There are THREE Champions League Playoffs this evening. In order of distance from Chateau Yapp they are at Brøndby in Denmark, Dinamo Zagreb in Croatia and Shakhtar Donetsk in Ukraine. These can therefore be linked randomishly to Glossop (169mi), Widnes (177mi) and Barnstaple (221mi). I will use the same "last-goal scored" method as last week (see here for details and small print) to have the decision made for me. Basically, whichever of these matches supplies the latest goal (as measured by the timekeepers for that particular game) makes my decision. It's randomish, but good enough.

UPDATE 3 : What happened in Stage Two?

RB Salzburg scored two very early goals at Brøndby, and then Monaco scored in Donetsk. That was the game that was level on aggregate at that moment and so something would have to give. I realised at this point that I needed to tweak the "small print" a bit. For my purposes, extra time goals would count but penalty shootouts will not. Monaco added a second goal to break the deadlock, and as things stood at half-time, I would therefore be headed to Barnstaple Town.

A goal in Denmark just after the hour turned my attention back to the north-west and Glossop North End. Then, with 15 minutes or so left to play, Marlos, one of Shaktar's Brazilians, pulled one back for them and bringing Barnstaple back into play. That goal took their tie to extra time, but with nothing else happening elsewhere, that's the decision made no matter what happens now. Barnstaple Town v Melksham Town on Saturday. Thanks, as ever, for humouring me.

Not-so-Great Railway Journeys for Me and Brighouse Town

 

Hopperational Details
Date & Venue	Saturday 21 August 2021 at Dean Street
Result	Shildon 2 Brighouse Town 1
Competition	FA Cup Preliminary Round
Hopstats	Ground 722 on the lifetime list. I am here randomishly because of Freddie Sears’ 95th minute penalty equaliser for Colchester against Mansfield in League Two last Tuesday. All is explained in the previous blogpost. A particular Hello goes to anyone encountering the MHR blog for the first time this season. It’s niche, and never takes itself too seriously.
Context
Shildon have opened the season with three wins, each with a clean sheet, starting with a 1-0 win over Garforth Town in the previous round. They were promoted from the Step 5 Northern League last season. Brighouse, like the hosts, are in the Step 4 Northern Premier League Eastern Division which feeds into the Step 3 Northern Premier League in the English pyramid. They have started with a defeat and a draw in the league, and enter the FA Cup competition at this stage.
In One Sentence
An entertaining game in which Brighouse were one-up heading into a frantic final few minutes that saw a red card for each side and two Shildon goals.
So What?
As with all cup-ties, Shildon go into the proverbial hat for the next round. Brighouse concentrate on the league. Oh, and the FA Trophy. And any league cups, shields, urns, vases or other assorted containers.
Pre-match Entertainment
Given the weather forecast, I decided to travel by train today and arrive early enough to spend some time at Locomotion, the town’s railway museum, before heading to Dean Street. Shildon has a significant railway history connected with the Stockton and Darlington line which was the first public railway in the country to use steam locomotives. Locomotion is well worth a visit if you are in this part of the world. A cancelled connecting train left me stuck at Darlington for an extra hour so with less time to explore museum and town. Nevertheless, saw enough impressive mechanical engineering to make it worthwhile whilst still getting to Dean Street in good time for my socially distanced circuit of the ground for photos.  I would be tilted on the train later on in the day Not at stake today. It's a Cup game. (See what I did there?)
Match Report
Brighouse should have taken the lead in the first minute and will this morning be reflecting on the number of chances and half-chances they created for a second goal. I crossed paths for the first time with fellow hopper @StuartLong19 today and he and I compared notes at various points in the game. We both felt that Brighouse on balance deserved their half-time lead as their chances had been somewhat better defined, but as the second half went on it felt to me like something would have to give for it to finish either 0-2 or 1-1. Wrong again. Well, partly. This was a good match for the passing neutral. Two well-organised sides, both looking for a win, but not one of those where they cancel each other out. There was plenty of action in the final thirds. Brighouse looked the more likely to score in the first fifteen minutes before Shildon started to compete more effectively and the game settled into a more even confrontation. Mr Whippy proving a momentary distraction for some of the younger players The passage of Mr Whippy in the adjacent street was followed by Brighouse’s Jack Boyle riding a tackle in midfield, bursting through the back line and firing over. Then Shildon striker Billy Greulich-Smith rolled the ball agonisingly just wide before they created more penalty area chaos needing a goal-line clearance. The holdup play of Laurence Sorhaindo was becoming increasingly important for Brighouse. He created another chance for Boyle to scuff before the opening goal. The same combination worked again, and this time Boyle, just before half-time, buried a low shot to the left corner from the edge of the area. The second half continued in much the same competitive and entertaining vein. Brighouse created many openings, Shildon were always in the game and starting to look a little more threatening, maybe as the clock ticked on leading to more risk-taking. Then we had the final mad minutes. Shildon equalised from the penalty spot through sub Dean Thexton with 86 minutes on the clock. I was at the other end and cannot honestly tell you why the kick was given. All square. With Brighouse on the break, the game was stopped for a foul when maybe advantage could have been played with sub Javelle Clarke clear on the left. Then with Shildon on the break in stoppage time, a mistimed attempt was deemed a dangerous tackle. The game was stopped for a straight red card for Jack Tinker. This was soon followed by a second yellow, and therefore a red, for his Shildon counterpart David Palmer.   Daniel Craggs gets the ball up and over the wall for the winner I started to wonder about whether to get to the replay at Brighouse when, in the fifth minute of added time, Daniel Craggs curled in the winning goal for Shildon from a direct freekick. No time for a Brighouse response, and so the game was won, and Shildon’s unbeaten run this season continues. I had to scuttle out of the ground sharpishly to make my train, but I’m sure there will have been both ends of the emotional spectrum on display. Well done to a resilient Shildon, commiserations to an unfortunate Brighouse, I hope to pitch up at your place sometime later in the season.
Match Pix
Ground Pix
This ground is a groundhopper gem. Traditional and embedded in its community whilst still having a good surface and good facilities. The club was friendly from the turnstile onwards and, alongside the town's wider interest, well worth my long journey today.
Opinion
It will probably be back to the Yappmobile for me. My attempt to let the train take the strain led to a wasted hour on the platform at Darlington in the morning, and a packed carriageful of drunken covidiots on the way south from York races in the evening. Although I was left alone and no-one commented on my facemask, I noted that I was the only one covered-up in my Darlington to Shildon carriage. The morning journey had been fine, but the return has inadvertently put me in a riskier situation than I wanted. I will be somewhat relieved if I turn out negative lateral flow tests in the next few days. It has to be said that the non-compliance with the guidance is mostly from the younger age bracket, and mostly from men within that. The return journey has therefore done nothing to take me away from the car and therefore our crowded roads. The train journey was deeply unpleasant for a significant part. Alcohol was flowing and the behaviour was basically ignored by the train staff. I could cope with the merriment and loudness well enough, fair enough, but the constant stream of foul language and innuendo in public does not sit well with me. I’m annoyed with myself that I didn’t challenge it until I remember that a man in his forties was murdered in this country recently for doing something similar in the street.
Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats Update
Usually accompanied by a pre-match prediction on Twitter just before kickoff. Working towards being able to compute a respectable statistical significance test by the end of the season. The full keeper top performance table from my last 223 matches is here, on this separate page. Today, Yellow faces Blue and gets an "unexpected" win.  An anxious moment, but it rolled just wide this time. Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper Top Colour: Prediction: Away Win Was the prediction correct? No % of correct predictions so far 49% (38 from 78) No change to the league table positions. Based on conventional 3pts for a win, 1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean sheet (CS).  Colours ranked on a points per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by undeniable half-and-half tops or lower league sub keepers in a different colour.  The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with the help of the social media team at Dulux UK.  All of this arises from a comment attributed to Petr Cech (and supported by anonymous scientists of some description) that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box. It is supposedly because of an innate primeval human reaction to the colour and the colour “spreads” more in the vision of a striker at the key moment of decision. Genius or garbage? The evidence is gathering here, and is leaning towards the latter.
What Next?
Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter! The general plan is to work my way through 21 unvisited Step 4 grounds in the weeks ahead, with six others in a higher tier which I will consider when CV19 case prevalence is lower.