Hopperational details
|
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Date &
Venue
|
Saturday 29
September 2012 at Rush Green Stadium
|
||
Result
|
Grays Athletic 1 Ashford Town
(Middlesex) 1
|
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Competition
|
FA Trophy
First Qualifying Round. Both sides play at step 4 - Grays in the Isthmian League Div One North and Ashford Town in the Southern League Div One Central.
|
||
Hopping
|
This is the
second Grays home game I have seen – the last was in September 2006 at the
Recreation Ground. It was one of my
early Conference games as I moved beyond the 92 and into the non-league
world. The Rec lease ended in 2009/10
and Grays dropped to step 4, groundsharing at East Thurrock for two
years. The arrangement at Rush Green
Stadium, in partnership with West Ham, is seen as a temporary home. It becomes number 483 on my lifetime list,
and I am here because it is the shortest journey of the 24 Trophy ties at “unvisited”
grounds today. The Yappmobile is in
need of a service and I need to keep the mileage down this week!
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Pre-match preparation
|
|||
Thanks to
the excellent article on the Grays website I have established that neither
side has had a 0-0 draw for months.
Both sides were tonked out of the FA Cup last weekend. Grays beat Aylesbury and Ashford beat
Walton Casuals in the preliminary round and it is the first time that the clubs
have met in any competition. Grays have won this trophy twice, winning finals at Villa Park and Upton Park against Hucknall Town (2005) and Woking (2006) respectively.
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This match in one sentence
|
|||
An interesting game because the outcome was always in doubt rather than due to the quality of the play, and probably a fair result even though it messes up a Shaded by Grays title opportunity.
|
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So what?
|
|||
A replay on Tuesday.
|
|||
The drama unfolds
|
|||
Drama may be a bit of an overstatement here in its popular meaning anyway. If this were a stage play, we might be in the "Waiting for Godot" territory. Interesting and strangely compelling for the purists, yet not as exciting as the more downmarket stuff. Only 122 turned up to see it.
The Rush Green Stadium has a very good playing surface maintained by the Premier League partners. I was chatting pre-match to a couple of Grays supporters who have followed the club for over 60 years, and they explained that Grays were handing a debut to a loaned West Ham keeper, Jake Larkins. Ashford made the better start though, and on a couple of occasions Junior Baker needed to be strong and alert in central defence. It could be said that this goal was against the run of play. Grays are in blue. 1-0 The scorer is Danny Bunce, and there were 21 mins on the watch. Here is a more general scene-setter clip after the goal. It was now very even overall, with Grays playing with more confidence after their goal. Ashford had their first real chance to equalise just before half-time. Alex Duffy reached the byline and from the resulting corner a clearance off the line pinged to Bairoh Conteh but the defender's first-time shot went high. 1-0 at half-time I started the second half with an anticlockwise (from above) circuit of the ground and so here are two clips from other standpoints. After 63 minutes Jack West headed the ball on to Joao Carlos whose shot rolled just wide. It could so easily have been 2-0, but on 70 minutes an equaliser came at the other end. Mark Bitmead's first time finish was beyond the reach of Larkins. The ball had fallen nicely for him after a long throw from the right. 1-1 Grays were unlucky when a long range dipping volley by Bunce resulted in a corner. From that corner, Baker came running in for a perfectly timed and unchallenged header. I took several short clips in the last few minutes as both sides looked for a winner. By this time I was back in the shelter of the main stand - it was colder than it looks! The trademark green woolly hat will soon be needed this season, I fear. Today it remained in the rucksack (yes, I know) but it was close. However, nothing doing on the goals front, so a draw and a replay it is. Final score 1-1
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The programme
|
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Something
random
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The last time I saw Jack West play (for Tilbury) I bumped into his dad at the tea bar ...
http://modushopperrandom.blogspot.co.uk/2011/03/my-eats-meets-west-moment-at-tilbury.html |
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Hopping for Moorfields Update
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Two goals added to the tally, but nothing else of particular interest to the sponsors. Please join in if you haven't done so already. Previous posts explain all. Look for the Hopping for Moorfields tag in the cloud on the right.
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What Next?
|
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Not a clue, though I am up in the North West for other reasons next Saturday. I may try to sneak off to a match for a few hours during the afternoon. Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter for my hot flashes.
|
Sunday, 30 September 2012
Grays, a Hat and Me
Saturday, 22 September 2012
What's Shawe View?
Sack the roofpreader |
Sunday, 16 September 2012
Threeandtwentyism Decides
Quick recap: I have invented threeandtwentyism to decide which one of 23 ties in the Second Qualifying Round of the FA Cup next Saturday to go to next weekend. I have associated each match with a letter of the alphabet by choosing the 23 most common letters in the English language (both in words in general and for the initial letters of words). Therefore Q, X and Z are omitted. This means I can associate each match with the surname of people that can share or exhibit 23ness in their lives this week, up to 2323 (11.23pm) on Sunday.
However, since most of the links are surnames, we need a significance test otherwise the decision is made by the distribution of first letters and not by 23ness at all. To find out what the "expected" distribution is, I took a telephone directory and counted the number of pages devoted to each initial letter, to the nearest column (or 0.25 of a page).
For example, there were 11.25 pages of Ks out of 398, which would be 2.83% ( 11.25 x 100 / 398 ). We found 3 out of 120 links of 23ness for K, which is 2.50% of them ( 3 x 100 / 120 ) which shows that we found a very slightly smaller % than we might expect. We can calculate a simple significance factor by simply working out the ratio of the actual percentage to the expected percentage. The bigger the number, the greater the significance - we found more 23ness examples than we would have expected to find if it were just due to the initial letter. All of this is moderately reasonable and plausible so far. There are other more sophisticated significance tests, but the simple one will give me an answer that is good enough for this pointless purpose.
So ...
There are more initial Bs in the directory than anything else, so the number of 23ness links to B were about what would be expected. We found more links to S than any other letter, but the significance factor is not that high. The clear winner by this spurious methodology, with a result of 4.42, is the letter U, which was linked to Trafford v Spennymoor Town. On the face of it, this is a fluke result caused by the fact that the expected % was so low that it is surprising that we found any 23ness for this game at all ... but it is delicious and wonderful that the one that I did find is that it has 23 letters. You just can't argue with logic.
Trafford v Spennymoor Town will be my randomish FA Cup hop for next Saturday.
Small print for real and partially real mathematicians:
The way that the games were linked to letters was as fair as anything can be with alphabetical order. I have been consistent about searching for and recording examples of so-called "23ness". The telephone directory listing used was the residential section of the St Albans Phone Book, and there is no reason to believe that it is unrepresentative. Page counts were done to the nearest column, or quarter of a page. The significance test is fair up to a point - it is true that it shows the letters that showed up more or less than "expected". However, the variations are large and the true statistical significance is dubious, especially for those letters which appear the least. Another significance test involving differences from expected rather than ratios (i.e. subtraction rather than division) would have kept S at the top. I could probably have devised plausible sounding tests that would have put Y or A at the top had I wished to be devious. I didn't know that this method would favour the low frequency letters until I completed it. But I don't care - I'm going to Trafford v Spennymoor - it has 23 letters, I have spent the weekend with 23 and I am not letting go now.
Here are the final results, combining the themes of football, travel and groundhopping with friends' suggestions and personal links. The numbers on the right are the total number of links I have been able make with the number 23 for each letter. I have 120 links with the number 23 altogether. There are more for the letter S than any other - but S is a very common initial letter in the English language.
1
|
Ashton
United
|
v
|
Marine
|
A
– 8
|
Shola Ameobl wears 23 at Newcastle
(thanks @PayasodeMierda), as does Andrey Arshavin at Arsenal and Armand (Accrington). On 23/04/11 in the Faroe Islands I saw AB
lose 2-3 at home to FC SuĆ°uroy.
Australia beat Argentina 23-19 in rugby union yesterday. BA Flight 23 will take you to Atlanta. Yasser A was in block Z3, which looks like 23, for QPR v Chelsea on Saturday.
|
||||
2
|
Bamber
Bridge
|
v
|
Guiseley
AFC
|
B
– 14
|
William Burroughs believed in the enigma of 23. Peter B likes the fact that 23 is
sending me mad! Bolton Wanderers won
the first match at Wembley Stadium, the 1923 “White Horse” FA Cup final
(thanks @HoundofMeath). I hopped to
Bury Town on 23/11/10. Berkley (Colwyn
Bay) scored in the 23rd min yesterday. Bristol Rovers are 23rd in
League One this morning. Blackstock (Nottm Forest), Bennett (Doncaster), Bradley (Aldershot), Bell (Burton), Burgess (Port Vale), Barker (Southend), Boyle (Dundee), Barron (St Mirren) all wear 23.
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||||
3
|
Bishop
Auckland
|
v
|
AFC
Fylde
|
C
– 14
|
Clark is the name of the two captains in Borroughs' tale of the 23 enigma. Jim Carrey is the star of the film "The Number 23". Sol Campbell wore 23 at Arsenal
(thanks @cordelan) as does Seamus Coleman (Everton), Jamie Carragher
(Liverpool), Tom Cleverley (Man U) and Carlo Cudicini (Spurs). Also Craney (Rochdale). Charlton is the 23rd team on my
chronological groundhopping list. I
saw Crawley draw at York on 23/11/08, and Crawley is reached via the M23
motorway. On 23/10/11 I was at Celtic
Park. Coventry are 23rd in
League One. Cambridge City are the home side in tie number 23 in this round of the FA Cup.
|
||||
4
|
Buckland
|
v
|
Bath
City
|
D
– 1
|
Alou Diarra (West Ham) wears 23.
|
||||
5
|
Carlton
Town
|
v
|
New
Mills
|
E
– 1
|
Etuhu (Barnsley) wears 23.
|
||||
6
|
Chorley
|
v
|
Frickley
Athletic
|
F
– 7
|
On 23/01/10 I saw Farsley v Northwich
Victoria and the score was 2-3. My
Grandma F’s birthday. I was teaching
at Fearnhill School in Letchworth when I was 23. Frecklington (Peterboro), Freeman (Derby) and Faye (Hull) all wear 23.
|
||||
7
|
Dereham
Town
|
v
|
Chasetown
|
G
– 1
|
On 23/08/11 I hopped to an FA Cup game
at Greenwood Meadows.
|
||||
8
|
Fareham
Town
|
v
|
Blackfield
& Langley
|
H
– 11
|
Kathy H’s parents were both born in
1923. Huddo Hudson pointed out to me that
23 is the number of players in a World Cup squad. David Hoilett (QPR) and Ian Harte (Reading)
wear 23. Also Hector (Shrewsbury). I hopped to Histon on
23/08/08. It took 23 years for a
report on the Hillsborough incident to be accepted as the truth. Hyde are 23rd in the Conference
this morning. You’d need M6 J23 to go
to the races at Haydock Park. Hayes & Yeading have moved their FA Cup tie to the 23rd.
|
||||
9
|
Frome
Town
|
v
|
Weston
Super Mare
|
I
– 1
|
Ipswich Town are 23rd in the Championship.
|
||||
10
|
Gillingham
Town
|
v
|
Sholing
|
J
– 1
|
23 was Michael Jordan’s shirt number
for Chicago Bulls in the NBA.
|
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11
|
Gosport
Borough
|
v
|
Bideford
Town
|
K
– 3
|
I hopped to Kentish Town on 23/09/09. Kabamba (Uxbridge) scored in the 23rd
min yesterday. Keegan (Southend) wears 23.
|
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12
|
Grays
Athletic
|
v
|
Maidstone
United
|
L
– 6
|
On 23/03/10 I hopped to Leverstock
Green. Lopez (Stevenage) and Lustig (Celtic) wear 23. On 11/09/01 (now known as "9/11") United Airlines' Flight 23 to Los Angeles is believed by many to have averted a hijacking because of the captain's actions on the runway. Virgin Atlantic Flight 23 also flies to Los Angeles. Notts County's Joss Labadie was the only substitute deployed in the 23rd minute in the weekend's games.
|
||||
13
|
Merthyr
|
v
|
Hungerford
Town
|
M
– 13
|
Virgina Madsen is the co-star in the film "The Number 23". Elaine M’s wedding anniversary. Broadcaster Aasmah Mir just tweeted a link
to a video of her at age 23 (thanks @putajumperon). James McClean (Sunderland) and Gareth McAuley
(WBA) wear 23. Also McArdle (Bradford C) and Mohamed (Cheltenham). My visit to Eastlands
to see Man City 0-0 Portsmouth was on 23/08/06. There is an enormous Morrisons depot next
to J23 on the M5. Nathaniel
Mendez-Laing (Peterborough) scored in the 23rd minute today. Maynard (Cardiff) and McKeown (Kilmarnock) wear 23. M is the 23rd letter of Numbers chapter 23 verse 23 in the King James version of Old Testment, ("Surely there is no enchantment ...)
|
||||
14
|
Newport
(IoW)
|
v
|
Salisbury
City
|
N
– 1
|
Nantwich lost a match 23-0 to
Manchester United in 1952 (thanks @richard242).
|
||||
15
|
Nuneaton
Griff
|
v
|
Hednesford
Town
|
O
– 2
|
O'Shea (MK) and O'Brien (Oxford U) wear 23.
|
||||
16
|
Salford
City
|
v
|
FC
United Of Manchester
|
P
– 1
|
23 is a Prime number.
|
||||
17
|
Shildon
|
v
|
Altrincham
|
R
– 3
|
Gerda R likes the number 23 because it
is her son’s birthday. Rochina (Blackburn) wears 23, also Randall (Chesterfield).
|
||||
18
|
South
Park
|
v
|
Harefield
United
|
S
– 16
|
Joel Schumacher directed "The Number 23" and the central character is Walter Sparrow. @putajumperon was 23 when he saw an
Aussie Rules game, won by St Kilda.
Daniel Sturridge (Chelsea), Luke Shaw (Southampton), Darnel Situ
(Swansea) and Ronnie Stam (Wigan) wear 23. Also Spector (B'ham), Speiss (Notts Co), Simonsen (PNE). My visit to Sunderland’s old ground (Roker Park) was on 23/10/93. On 23/10/10 I saw Sheffield v Tipton Town
and wrote my first piece for @therealfacup.
Shepshed Dynamo are located near M1 J23 and the South Mimms Services
are located at J23 of the M25. Rifca Stanescu of Romania appears to have become the world's youngest grandmother, at age 23. Slough Town have moved their FA Cup tie to the 23rd.
|
||||
19
|
Tadcaster
Albion
|
v
|
Skelmersdale
United
|
T
– 6
|
@TravellingFan is 23 and the last time
I saw him was at Three Bridges. Marc
Tierney (Norwich) and Michael Tonge (Stoke) wear 23. Toomey (St Albans) scored in the 23rd
min yesterday. Thompson (Wycombe) wears 23. Throbbing Gristle sang a song (in the loose sense of the term) about Flight 23.
|
||||
20
|
Trafford
|
v
|
Spennymoor
Town
|
U
– 1
|
“Trafford v Spennymoor Town” has 23
characters not including the spaces.
|
||||
21
|
West
Auckland Town
|
v
|
Harrogate
Town
|
V
– 3
|
Rowan Vine of St Johnstone wore the 23 shirt AND scored the winning goal against Celtic. There are 23 protons in the nucleus of every atom of the element Vanadium.
|
||||
22
|
Whitby
Town
|
v
|
Droylsden
|
W
– 4
|
Wabara (Oldham), Woodall (Dag & Red) wear 23. "Whitby Town v Droylsden" has 23 characters if spaces are included. "23 Minutes in Hell" is the title of an utterly loopy book written by a religious fanatic by the name of Bill Weise about which I will say no more.
|
||||
23
|
Yate
Town
|
v
|
Oxford
City
|
Y
– 2
|
Yussuff (AFC Wimbledon) wears 23. "Yate Town v Oxford City" has 23 characters if spaces are included.
|
However, since most of the links are surnames, we need a significance test otherwise the decision is made by the distribution of first letters and not by 23ness at all. To find out what the "expected" distribution is, I took a telephone directory and counted the number of pages devoted to each initial letter, to the nearest column (or 0.25 of a page).
For example, there were 11.25 pages of Ks out of 398, which would be 2.83% ( 11.25 x 100 / 398 ). We found 3 out of 120 links of 23ness for K, which is 2.50% of them ( 3 x 100 / 120 ) which shows that we found a very slightly smaller % than we might expect. We can calculate a simple significance factor by simply working out the ratio of the actual percentage to the expected percentage. The bigger the number, the greater the significance - we found more 23ness examples than we would have expected to find if it were just due to the initial letter. All of this is moderately reasonable and plausible so far. There are other more sophisticated significance tests, but the simple one will give me an answer that is good enough for this pointless purpose.
So ...
Letter
|
Directory No. of Pages
|
Expected
% (E)
|
23ness Score
|
Actual % (A)
|
SIGNIFICANCE =
A / E
|
A
|
13.00
|
3.27%
|
8
|
6.67%
|
2.04
|
B
|
40.50
|
10.18%
|
14
|
11.67%
|
1.15
|
C
|
34.00
|
8.54%
|
14
|
11.67%
|
1.37
|
D
|
18.50
|
4.65%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
0.18
|
E
|
8.25
|
2.07%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
0.40
|
F
|
14.25
|
3.58%
|
7
|
5.83%
|
1.63
|
G
|
20.50
|
5.15%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
0.16
|
H
|
32.75
|
8.23%
|
11
|
9.17%
|
1.11
|
I
|
1.75
|
0.44%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
1.90
|
J
|
10.25
|
2.58%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
0.32
|
K
|
11.25
|
2.83%
|
3
|
2.50%
|
0.88
|
L
|
17.00
|
4.27%
|
6
|
5.00%
|
1.17
|
M
|
33.50
|
8.42%
|
13
|
10.83%
|
1.29
|
N
|
7.25
|
1.82%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
0.46
|
O
|
6.00
|
1.51%
|
2
|
1.67%
|
1.11
|
P
|
22.25
|
5.59%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
0.15
|
R
|
19.00
|
4.77%
|
3
|
2.50%
|
0.52
|
S
|
37.25
|
9.36%
|
16
|
13.33%
|
1.42
|
T
|
16.25
|
4.08%
|
6
|
5.00%
|
1.22
|
U
|
0.75
|
0.19%
|
1
|
0.83%
|
4.42
|
V
|
3.00
|
0.75%
|
3
|
2.50%
|
3.32
|
W
|
29.00
|
7.29%
|
4
|
3.33%
|
0.46
|
Y
|
1.75
|
0.44%
|
2
|
1.67%
|
3.79
|
Total
|
398.00
|
100.00
|
120
|
100.00
|
There are more initial Bs in the directory than anything else, so the number of 23ness links to B were about what would be expected. We found more links to S than any other letter, but the significance factor is not that high. The clear winner by this spurious methodology, with a result of 4.42, is the letter U, which was linked to Trafford v Spennymoor Town. On the face of it, this is a fluke result caused by the fact that the expected % was so low that it is surprising that we found any 23ness for this game at all ... but it is delicious and wonderful that the one that I did find is that it has 23 letters. You just can't argue with logic.
Trafford v Spennymoor Town will be my randomish FA Cup hop for next Saturday.
Small print for real and partially real mathematicians:
The way that the games were linked to letters was as fair as anything can be with alphabetical order. I have been consistent about searching for and recording examples of so-called "23ness". The telephone directory listing used was the residential section of the St Albans Phone Book, and there is no reason to believe that it is unrepresentative. Page counts were done to the nearest column, or quarter of a page. The significance test is fair up to a point - it is true that it shows the letters that showed up more or less than "expected". However, the variations are large and the true statistical significance is dubious, especially for those letters which appear the least. Another significance test involving differences from expected rather than ratios (i.e. subtraction rather than division) would have kept S at the top. I could probably have devised plausible sounding tests that would have put Y or A at the top had I wished to be devious. I didn't know that this method would favour the low frequency letters until I completed it. But I don't care - I'm going to Trafford v Spennymoor - it has 23 letters, I have spent the weekend with 23 and I am not letting go now.
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