Wednesday 26 October 2022

Go Go Power Rangers

Front cover of the e-programme (a free pdf file)

Hopperational Details

Date & Venue

Tuesday 25 October 2022

Result

Crawley Green 1 Risborough Rangers 2

Competition

Spartan South Midlands Premier League (Step 5)

Hopstats

Ground #763 on the lifetime list and I am here because it’s a short midweek journey to an unvisited ground. Have spent the best part of two days glued to chaotic UK politics and this seemed like a good way to escape.

Context

Crawley Green are heading the division with Rangers just on the right side of midway.

In One Sentence

A deserved away victory in a competitive game that was a good advert for the division.

So What?

Crawley Green remain first but Stotfold closed the gap and have a game in hand. Risborough are up to eighth.

Match Report and Clips

If you like planespotting too, chose a daytime game for your visit here. The ground lies pretty much under the final approach, or takeoff line, for the runway at Luton Airport. Also be warned that there is no spectator parking at the ground and you probably need to arrive early to get a reasonably close street parking space. The Brache is Luton Town’s training facility, and it's a standard 3G surface. By the way, it’s an e-programme. Not an issue (haha, see what I did there) for me, but a deal-breaker for some.

The game was played at a good pace on this mild October evening, and the result was in doubt right to the end, great for the passing neutral. It was a goalless first half, but not for the want of trying. The visitors had the best of it, and you started to wonder whether they would eventually regret not having a halftime lead to match their dominance. The Crawley Green keeper Daniel Gould was busy and did well on several occasions to keep his side level. Risborough were having more success in getting behind the home defensive line, whereas home attacks were often snuffed out after the first ball forward. One imagines strong words could have been said in the home dressing room at the interval – they had not looked like table toppers.

It was no surprise therefore, that Crawley Green fashioned a good chance in the opening moments of the second half. The ball went just wide of the far right-hand post. By this time I’d abandoned trying to take photographs and decided to settle for a couple of clips. The first shows a slick Risborough attack leading to a goal-line clearance, and the second has Crawley Green taking the lead from a break. The scorer is Joe Hankins.

 




The lead lasted no more than two minutes as Rico Greco stepped up from midfield and hammered an equaliser. The game then rather settled into the same pattern as the first-half. Risborough eventually got their second goal, and the points, courtesy of Asher Yearwood. I don’t think there can be much argument about the result.

I headed to the nearby fast-food franchise – the one whose golden arches are visible from the dugouts – and a good number of the winning side turned up just as I was leaving. Perhaps that’s their dietary secret.

Goalkeeper Top Colour Stats Update

Usually accompanied by a pre-match prediction on Twitter just before kickoff. Working towards being able to compute a respectable statistical significance test by the end of the season. The full keeper top performance table from my last 264 matches is here, on this separate page.

Today, Green loses to Blue, which does not change the positions but means that Green’s lead over blue is an utterly insignificant 0.001 of a point per game.

Pre-match Prediction based on Keeper Top Colour:

Prediction:

Home Win

Was the prediction correct?

No

% of correct predictions so far

45% (53 from 119)

Based on conventional 3pts for a win, 1pt for a draw, but also -1pt for a goal conceded (GC) and +5pts for a clean sheet (CS).  Colours ranked on a points per game (PPG) basis. The odd decimal places were caused either by undeniable half-and-half tops or lower league sub keepers in a different colour.  The Fire Cracker colour was confirmed with the help of the social media team at Dulux UK.  All of this arises from a comment attributed to Petr Cech (and supported by anonymous scientists of some description) that orange is the best colour for a goalkeeper because it changes the behaviour of other players around the box. It is supposedly because of an innate primeval human reaction to the colour and the colour “spreads” more in the vision of a striker at the key moment of decision. Genius or garbage? The evidence is gathering here, and is leaning towards the latter.

What Next?

Follow @GrahamYapp on Twitter! Quite a few of my grounds need long drives or train journeys and we are entering the season of less certain weather. It’s likely that there will be a lot of last-minute decisions. Plymouth Parkway is the main priority in order to restore “everywhere in the top seven tiers of the pyramid” on my list. Then there are seventeen at Step 4. I doubt whether I will make the next landmark after that before hanging up my notebook as there would be over a hundred more.

 

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